Tuesday, January 20, 2009

In Addendum

In Addendum to an earlier post talking about how history will remember President Bush:

The rise of terrorism might just be the big historical theme of the next quarter century. Maybe more. If that is the case, he will simply be remembered as the first president who had to deal with direct threats from terrorists, with little idea on how to do so.

It's no secret that warfare is changing. Thanks to globalization, war between countries is more and more unlikely and if it even happens is more likely to resemble the Falkland Islands War (oh, now the mighty British Empire has fallen). When you depend on a country for a certain good it becomes increasingly unlikely that you will bomb them. At this point radicalism is more likely to pose a threat than other countries. Warfare between a country and an ideology seems to be more and more the norm.

With no real territory, clear objectives for victory, and organizational structure radicalism becomes hard to fight. Our future leaders will have to figure out a way to combat the new threat. Traditional tactics simply will not work.

...Or at least that is my hypothesis...

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